Overview
1.The on-going growth cycle is strong, synchronised and well-balanced across all regions supportive for global trade and commodities;
2.Developed markets’ financial conditions should remain supportive for some time while Emerging Markets’ lines of defence have improved
3.While the whole asset class should be supported, several EM currencies stand out as their local policy-making has committed to maintaining the right balance to anchor investors’ expectations and thus reduce the risk of sudden stop.
4.Global investors’ strategic positioning is light in EM after 10 years of poor performance. Supportive macro and valuations factors not seen in years and further development of the asset class will entice investors to reallocate assets to EM.
20211216_H2O-AM-Macro-Insights_Emerging-Markets-Strike-Back-1